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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h10-30 min je Item45-120 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
4-101-82-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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