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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Knowledge Modeling Knowledge Mapping |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 10-30 min je Item | 1-3 h | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Knowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer Plan | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | KnowledgeMappingRisk | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |