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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h10-30 min je Item45-90 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
4-101-82-52-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
EstimationForecastingFlow
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