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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 hlaufend45-120 min10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
4-102-122-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationForecastingFlow
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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