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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-3 hlaufend10-30 min je Item45-120 min
Participantsdifferent
4-102-121-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
WasteLeanProcess improvement
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