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| Criterion | ![]() Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis | ![]() Business Strategy Scenario Planning | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing | ![]() Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | Half day | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-90 min | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 4-12 | 2-8 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |



