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Criterion
Paper illustration for Time Blocking
Operations
Time Blocking
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
15-30 min Planung, laufend1-4 Wochen45-90 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
16-30 Experten2-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Blocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementFocus
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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