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| Criterion |  Operations Time Blocking |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-30 min Planung, laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 45-60 min | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Blocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | PlanningTime managementFocus | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |