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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationExpertsForecasting | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |