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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Growth A/B Testing |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-6 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |