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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |  Operations Kaizen Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min | 0.5-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 2-5 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Kaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work Update |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationExpertsForecasting | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | LeanContinuous improvementOperations |