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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Intervention Mapping.
Systems Thinking
Intervention Mapping
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item45-120 min1-5 Tage2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-84-123-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogLogic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation PlanFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
WasteLeanProcess improvement
ChangeSystems thinkingCapability
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
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