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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | Half day | Half day | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |