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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-3 h60-120 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
1-83-122-82-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesSystem Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
EstimationForecastingFlow
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