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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Process Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Operations
Process Mapping
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-3 h15-30 min30-120 min
Participantsdifferent
1-83-102-62-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesProcess Map, Handoff List, Improvement BacklogRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ProcessOperationsImprovement
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
LeanObservationProcessOperations
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