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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Paper illustration for Eat the Frog
Operations
Eat the Frog
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.The method protects energy and attention for the task that creates the largest progress and is often postponed.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-45 min1-2 h Setup, laufend15-90 min daily
Participantsdifferent
1-81-811
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAction Lists, Project List, Review RoutinePriority Task, Completion Note, Daily Focus
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
PrioritizationProductivityFocusExecution
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