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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-45 min2-6 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-81-83-82-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskRoot causeSafety
Root causeSafetyIncident
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