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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-45 min10-20 min daily1-2 h Setup, laufend
Participantsdifferent
1-81-811
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesAction Lists, Project List, Review Routine
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
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