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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1 h bis mehrere Wochen1-3 h0.5-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
1-81-84-104-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard ChangeCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listKaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work Update
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
LeanContinuous improvementOperations
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