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Selected:Three-Point EstimationOpportunity Solution TreeExperiment CanvasHypothesis Prioritization Canvas
| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree | ![]() Product Discovery Experiment Canvas | ![]() Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 30-60 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |



