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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Decision Making OODA Loop | ![]() Decision Making Wideband Delphi | ![]() Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |



