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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-60 min je ZyklusHalf day2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-81-83-123-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesLeverage Map, Action StrategyFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
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