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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Weekly Review |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | In a week with many open loops, the method creates distance from operational noise. It organizes commitments, calendar, and projects so the next week becomes workable. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | laufend | 30-60 min | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 1 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Updated Task System, Weekly Focus, Next Actions | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | ProductivityExecutionPlanning | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |