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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Product Strategy GIST Planning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | laufend | 45-90 min | Wochen bis Monate je Goal |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 3-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments |