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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Agile NoEstimates | ![]() Product Discovery Experiment Canvas | ![]() Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | laufend | 30-60 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |



