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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Discovery Learning Card |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 25-40 min | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Learning Card with evidence and next action | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |