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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Lean Startup with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Lean Startup
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of Five-Minute VC Check with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
5-Minuten VC-Check
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je ItemWochen bis Monate je Lernzykluslaufend5-15 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-82-121-5
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesHypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decisionThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesVC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LeanStartupValidationMVP
EstimationForecastingFlow
StartupValidationCompetition
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