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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Engineering Kanban |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | Ongoing | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | FlowVisual managementDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |