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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item0.5-5 Tage1-3 h30-120 min
Participantsdifferent
1-84-104-102-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesKaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work UpdateCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LeanContinuous improvementOperations
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
LeanObservationProcessOperations
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