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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-5 Tage | 1-2 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |