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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 45-90 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |