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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item45-90 min0.5-2 Tagelaufend
Participantsdifferent
1-83-84-122-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
EstimationForecastingFlow
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