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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Product Strategy Impact Mapping | ![]() Business Strategy Scenario Planning | ![]() Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 45-90 min | 0.5-2 Tage | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-12 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | EstimationForecastingFlow |



