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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-2 h Setup, laufendlaufend10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
1-812-121
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesAction Lists, Project List, Review RoutineThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
EstimationForecastingFlow
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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