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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-120 min0.5-5 Tage1 h bis mehrere Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-82-64-101-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasKaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work UpdatePDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LeanObservationProcessOperations
LeanContinuous improvementOperations
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
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