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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je ItemHalber Tag0.5-5 TageAs needed
Participantsdifferent
1-85-204-104-15
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksKaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work UpdateIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ResilienceOperationsIncident
LeanContinuous improvementOperations
IncidentOperationsReliability
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