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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-60 min45-60 min20-35 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81-52-81-5
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success MetricAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingTest Card with a pre-set threshold
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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