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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Power-Interest Grid with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Facilitation
Power Interest Grid
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When many stakeholders compete for attention at once, the Power Interest Grid sorts them by influence and stake. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as a Power Interest Grid and a stakeholder-specific strategy.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen30-60 min0.5-2 Tage
Participantsdifferent
1-86-30 Experten2-84-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesPower Interest Grid, Strategy per StakeholderScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StakeholdersFacilitationAlignmentPlanning
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
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