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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of ICE Scoring with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
ICE Scoring
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen30-60 min1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
1-86-30 Experten2-84-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesICE Table, Top Idea ListEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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