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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Decision Jam |  Facilitation Consensus Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer. | When a group needs a solid decision without outvoting individual factions, a Consensus Workshop creates a negotiable common ground. It makes agreement, reservations, and open tensions discussable at the same time. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 Wochen | 60-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 4-10 | 5-30 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Problem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment | Consensus Clusters, Theme Titles, Priority Areas |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop | FacilitationConsensusWorkshopAlignment |