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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 30-90 min | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-6 | 4-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DecisionTreeOptions | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ChangeDecisionStrategy |