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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Delivery Cost of Delay | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 90-180 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |



