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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Delivery Communication Plan |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When many people need to be informed in parallel and messages would otherwise arrive unevenly or too late, a Communication Plan orders communication reliably. Channels, audiences, and cadences interlock so important information doesn't get lost. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Communication Plan, Channel Matrix, Message Cadence | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | CommunicationStakeholdersDeliveryPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |