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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |  Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-3 h | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics | EstimationForecastingFlow |
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