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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item2-4 h1-3 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-82-62-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogCause Tree, Evidence Notes, CountermeasuresMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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