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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-3 h | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | SensemakingDecisionRationale | EstimationExpertsForecasting | RationaleKnowledgeDecision |