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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item20-45 min30-90 minAs needed
Participantsdifferent
1-83-123-124-15
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesLessons learned, Action items, Event summaryPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LearningOperationsImprovement
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
IncidentOperationsReliability
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