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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 30-60 min | 30-60 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |