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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-60 min30-120 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
1-81-52-62-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
LeanObservationProcessOperations
EstimationForecastingFlow
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