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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Operations A3 Problem Solving | ![]() Operations Gemba Walk | ![]() Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 45-90 min | 30-120 min | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | LeanObservationProcessOperations | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |



