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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHigh
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
3-121-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration of a Strategy Canvas with several value curves
Business Strategy
Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas
Paper illustration of a Business Model Canvas with nine connected compartments, a few notes and symbols for customers, delivery and economic relationships.
Business Strategy
Business Model Canvas
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method